COVID-19 Graphs Updated 2/26/2022

So finally got done with the busy period at work. So I decided to update the Covid-19 graphs. Basically we get to see the results of the Omicron wave.

I have decided to replace the cases graphs with hospitalizations graphs. The hospitalizations data is from the HHS.

The reported deaths data continues to be from the New York Times.

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

United States graphs:

Regional charts:

And finally the regional comparison chart:

Seems like there is some optimism that at least the worst is over with the vaccines, better treatments, combined with natural immunity. As far as updates, I will say they are going to be infrequent now, basically when I feel like doing it (which will be if I think there is anything interesting to find).

Until next time.

COVID-19 Graphs Updated 11/13/2021

Updating the graphs again.

One thing that is occurring to me that at some point the tracking of cases may lose value as the number of vaccinated and other immunity builds and as treatments become available changes in the numbers of cases will become less of a true predictor of future hospitalizations and deaths. Or at the very least such a small percentage of cases will become hospitalizations/deaths that it won’t matter as much. The only true end game is that Covid-19 will transition from pandemic to endemic at which point there will likely still be patterns in increases and decreases of cases, just in a relatively predictable manner.

But for now I think I will continue to chart those. It does look like an increase in reported cases is beginning again, likely as part of the winter season (increases are primarily in the northern portions of the country). Reported deaths is slightly decreasing countrywide, with it stagnant in most regions with a big decreases mostly in southern regions.

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

Here are the countrywide charts:

Regional charts:

And finally the regional comparison charts:

Next update in a month or so.

COVID-19: Updated Graphs As Of 10/16/2021

Updating the graphs again. Looks like in terms of cases, while reported cases are generally down, it does look like that is varying region to region (where there are sharp decreases in some regions, others are more stagnant). With the lag, it looks like where cases were peaking last time, now it looks like in general reported deaths are peaking and even starting to fall this time.

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

Here are the countrywide charts:

Regional charts:

And finally the regional comparison charts:

Next update in a month or so.

COVID 19 Part 2 – Updated Graphs As Of 8/7/2021

Now for the updated graphs. Bottom line is overall reported cases are going back up and at a pretty good clip. Reported deaths are still flat to going slightly up. Hopefully with the most vulnerable vaccinated, they don’t quite follow as closely at case, but it won’t surprise me if they start going up just based on the sheer volume of number of cases.

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

Here are the countrywide charts:

Here are the regional charts:

• 

And finally the regional comparison charts:

See in you all in a month or so.

COVID-19 Statistics Updated Through July 1

Hey all, updating the graphs again.

Looks like over the last month reported cases have continued to fall, though the decreases may be stalling out (could be the result of the Delta variant?). Reported deaths have also continued to fall to pretty low levels. The vaccines are working, and I believe will continue to get better results if we can get more people vaccinate (to that end, I think we need to be looking for solutions to make vaccination as easy as possible…not sure just encouragement is going to get the job done).

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

United States Graphs:

Region Charts:

And finally here are the region comparison charts:

Happy Independence Day everyone. See ya in a month or so.

Covid-19 Statistics Update 11 28 20

Updating the charts again. Just a quick comment, because of Thanksgiving, there are many entities that aren’t reporting for the weekend which is creating an artificial drop in the numbers. This should be followed up by an artificial spike in the numbers starting early this week and then everything should be back on track. Bottom line is the effect will be that it will appear that the numbers may be peaking, but this is likely not going to be the case.

So with that said, this is what we have:

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

United States graphs:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 4.39; 11/13 = 3.30; Change = +32.8%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 490.4; 11/13 = 425.2; Change = +15.3%

Regional Graphs:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 7.93; 11/13 = 5.48; Change = +44.6%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 766.9; 11/13 = 785.7; Change = -2.4%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 5.25; 11/13 = 5.19; Change = +1.3%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 496.4; 11/13 = 460.1; Change = +7.9%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 3.47; 11/13 = 1.91; Change = +81.7%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 421.4; 11/13 = 280.9; Change = +50.0%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 5.25; 11/13 = 3.75; Change = +40.0%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 725.7; 11/13 = 601.8; Change = +20.6%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 3.94; 11/13 = 2.51; Change = +56.7%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 382.5; 11/13 = 337.0; Change = +13.5%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 1.67; 11/13 = 1.13; Change = +48.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 342.2; 11/13 = 199.9; Change = +71.2%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 3.09; 11/13 = 2.67; Change = +15.6%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 322.9; 11/13 = 235.3; Change = 37.2%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 8.17; 11/13 = 6.33; Change = +29.1%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 861.0; 11/13 = 1,009.7; Change = -14.7%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/28 = 4.24; 11/13 = 3.70; Change = +14.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/28 = 416.3; 11/13 = 374.3; Change = +11.2%

And finally here are the regional comparison charts:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: Northeast: 11/28 = 3.59; 11/13 = 2.07; Change = +73.8%; Rest of United States: 11/28 = 4.55; 11/13 = 3.56; Change = +27.8%

Next update in a couple of weeks.

Covid-19 Stats Updated 11 13 2020

Before I put up the updated graphs, I wanted to add a little context with what is going on elsewhere in the world. For the most part, the beginning of the latest surge we are beginning to see here unfortunately has been well underway in other countries for quite a while. Italy, France, and the U.K. are well into reported death increases with growth that appears exponential in nature. Germany, Canada and Sweden are now beginning to see upturns that appear to be the beginning of such a turn as well. So the world right now is struggling with this thing.

As far as the United States go, there isn’t any good news. The bad news is the United States is starting from a higher baseline of reported death levels than these other nations. The worse news is that other than the Pacific region, every region is reporting more deaths per day than they were a couple of weeks ago, so the turn has began here. The worst news is reported cases are skyrocketing, with most regions (and therefore the U.S. in total) clearly in an exponential growth pattern for cases. In a good example of how quickly things can blow up when you have exponential growth, last time I mentioned that we would probably see a 100,000 reported case day soon. Well, not only have we seen that, we’ve blown right past that and now a 200,000 day seems inevitable very very soon (the last data point here, 11/13, has over 180,000 reported cases).

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

United States graphs:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 3.30; 10/31 = 2.45; Change = +34.9%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 425.0; 10/31 = 243.4; Change = +74.6%

And now here’s the by region charts:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 5.48; 10/31 = 3.16; Change = +73.2%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 785.7; 10/31 = 407.8; Change = +92.7%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 5.19; 10/31 = 3.85; Change = +34.6%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 460.1; 10/31 = 317.0; Change = +45.1%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 1.91; 10/31 = 1.23; Change = +55.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 280.9; 10/31 = 138.3; Change = +103.1%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 3.75; 10/31 = 2.63; Change = +42.9%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 601.8; 10/31 = 343.6; Change = +75.1%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 2.51; 10/31 = 2.17; Change = +15.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 337.0; 10/31 = 178.1; Change = +89.2%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 1.13; 10/31 = 1.20; Change = -6.4%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 200.0; 10/31 = 110.2; Change = +81.3%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 2.67; 10/31 = 2.26; Change = +18.0%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 235.3; 10/31 = 180.9; Change = +30.1%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 6.33; 10/31 = 4.57; Change = +38.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 1,008.9; 10/31 = 515.8; Change = +95.6%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 11/13 = 3.70; 10/31 = 3.06; Change = +21.0%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 11/13 = 372.7; 10/31 = 227.9; Change = +63.5%

Here are the regions on a single graph:

And finally here is reported deaths for the Northeast versus the rest of the United States:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: Northeast: 11/13 = 2.07; 10/31 = 1.47; Change = +40.1%; Rest of U.S.: 11/13 = 3.56; 10/31 = 2.65; Change = +34.3%

Another update in a couple of weeks.

Covid-19 Stats Updated 10 31 2020

First before I get into the updated graphs, just want to encourage anyone who hasn’t voted yet (which apparently doesn’t include a whopping 80 million of you so far) to definitely vote. Concerned about the pandemic? Experts say the risk of voting is similar to that of going to the grocery store, assuming you mask up and give everyone their space. (Not risk-free, but relatively low risk.)

Also, in recognition of our system means that for many of us (outside of the dozen or so states that really are in play) the vote for President isn’t going to be particularly meaningful in determining the ultimate outcome, I will remind you that there are many other races and/or other ballot initiatives that truthfully will have a more immediate and direct impact on our lives. So pull up your ‘sample ballot’, take a look at the whole thing, do your homework, and show up ready to try to make a difference.

With that, here’s the update to the Covid-19 charts. First, I have done a little more with trying to clean up the data as best I can by removing the effects of any obvious data corrections. Second, it does indeed appear that the death rate is on the rise again, though we will really need another couple of weeks to see if it’s a sustained gain or not. Finally, unfortunately what is already clear is that reported case rates are blowing up. Not a single region is doing well in this regard, it’s just a matter if it merely increasing or increasing at a scary (exponential) rate (and for too many regions, it’s the latter). The nation is on the doorstep of having it’s first 100,000 day of reported cases.

Data Source – New York Times github

Data Info – New York Times data info

Regions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

Going to organize this a little differently, by region instead of by deaths and then by cases. So first here’s the graphs for the United States:

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 2.45; 10/17 = 2.14; Change = +14.7%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 243.4; 10/17 = 170.3; Change = +42.9%

And here’s the regional charts:

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 3.20; 10/17 = 2.03; Change = +57.7%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 407.8; 10/17 =242.6; Change = +68.1%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 3.85; 10/17 = 3.09; Change = +24.6%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 317.0; 10/17 = 243.7; Change = +30.1%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 1.23; 10/17 = 0.82; Change = +49.6%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 138.3; 10/17 = 89.7; Change = +54.2%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 2.63; 10/17 = 1.74; Change = +51.3%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 343.6; 10/17 = 224.0; Change = +53.4%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 2.17; 10/17 = 1.77; Change = +22.8%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 178.1; 10/17 = 92.4; Change = +92.9%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 1.20; 10/17 = 1.26; Change = -4.4%

Incremental Cases per 1M: 10/31 = 110.2; 10/17 = 84.1; Change = +31.1%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 2.26; 10/17 = 2.85; Change = -20.5%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 180.9; 10/17 = 154.2; Change = +17.3%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 4.57; 10/17 = 3.55; Change = +29.0%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 515.8; 10/17 = 336.6; Change = +53.2%

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: 10/31 = 3.06; 10/17 = 2.80; Change = +14.7%

Incremental Cases Per 1M: 10/31 = 227.6; 10/17 = 184.9; Change = +23.1%

Here are all the regions on one graph:

Finally here is the Northeast versus the Rest of the United States for incremental deaths reported:

Incremental Deaths Per 1M: Northeast: 10/31 = 1.47; 10/17 = 1.07; Change = +38.0%; Rest of U.S.: 10/31 = 2.66; 10/17 = 2.36; Change = +12.6%

Next update in 2 weeks.

Covid-19 Stats Updated 10 17 2020

So the reported death counts are still running fairly flat countrywide (though definitely with variation region to region). But reported cases are definitely up almost across the board. And from what I understand, so are hospitalizations. Unfortunately there’s a pretty good chance that reported deaths will soon follow, maybe by the time I update this again in a couple of weeks (hopefully I’m wrong).

So I decided to go ahead and make a couple of tweaks to the data. I replaced the large reported death count for 6/25 in the Middle Atlantic with an interpolated number between the 6/24 and 6/26 reported death numbers. Likewise for reported cases in New England, I replaced a very large negative count for 9/2 with an interpolated number between 9/1 and 9/3.

Data source – https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us-states.csv

Data information – https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

Here are the region definitions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

First, the death statistics. Here is the United States in total:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 2.15; 10/3 = 2.13; Change = +1.0%

And here is the regional graphs:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 2.03; 10/3 = 1.94; Change = +4.6%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 3.09; 10/3 = 2.96; Change = +4.3%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 0.82; 10/3 = 0.74; Change = +10.5%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 1.74; 10/3 = 1.33; Change = +30.2%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 1.77; 10/3 = 1.39; Change = +27.8%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 1.31; 10/3 = 1.70; Change = -23.0%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 2.85; 10/3 = 2.84; Change = +0.2%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 3.55; 10/3 = 2.64; Change = +34.3%

Reported Deaths Per 1M: 10/17 = 2.80; 10/3 = 3.23; Change = -13.3%

Here is how the Northeast compares to the rest of the U.S.:

Reported Deaths Per 1M: Northeast: 10/17 = 1.07; 10/3 = 0.91; Change = +17.4%; Rest of United States: 10/17 = 2.37; 10/3 = 2.38; Change = -0.3%

And here are all the regions on one graph:

As for reported cases, here’s the United States in total:

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 169.4; 10/3 = 132.6; Change = +27.7%

And by region:

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 242.6; 10/3 = 165.4; Change = +46.6%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 243.7; 10/3 = 182.4; Change = +33.6%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 89.7; 10/3 = 70.0; Change = +28.1%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 224.0; 10/3 = 148.9; Change = +50.4%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 92.4; 10/3 = 73.1; Change = +26.3%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 84.1; 10/3 = 79.5; Change = +5.8%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 149.8; 10/3 = 118.5; Change = +26.5%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 336.6; 10/3 = 249.5; Change = +34.9%

Reported Cases Per 1M: 10/17 = 184.9; 10/3 = 180.4; Change = +2.5%

Next update in two weeks.

COVID-19 Reported Stats As Of 10/3/2020

First, I suppose I can’t ignore that President Trump is now hospitalized with COVID-19. Don’t have much to say about it, other than it’s a good reminder that this virus doesn’t care who you are and anyone can get infected, so taking precautions like wearing masks, stay spread apart, washing hands, etc. are still very important.

Next, I am changing things up a bit. I am going to start the charts with the rolling 7-day average at 7/1/20 now to show the more recent history. You can always go back to the older posts to see the prior to 7/1 history (though in summary, things got pretty bad in the Northeast and then measures were put in place nationwide and things improved in the Northeast while the rest of the nation started getting cases, but kept their curves relatively flatten).

Finally I am going to add charts that show reported incremental cases per 100K population starting with rolling 7-day averages at 7/1/20. Once again, I am going to use the data as is, which means data anomalies will just roll through (which will become quite obvious when looking at the New England and see negative cases as a result of some large adjustment in Massachusetts.

Data source – https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us-states.csv

Data information – https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

Here are the region definitions:

East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee

Middle Atlantic: Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania

Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont

Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington

South Atlantic: Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Northern Mariana Islands, and Virgin Islands

West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota

West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas

First, the death statistics. Here is the United States in total:

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 2.13; 9/18 = 2.42; Change = -12.2%

And now the regional death charts:

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 1.94; 9/18 = 1.58; Change = +22.3%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 2.96; 9/18 = 3.25; Change = -8.7%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 0.89; 9/18 = 0.95; Change = -5.7%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 1.33; 9/18 = 2.02; Change = -33.9%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 1.40; 9/18 = 1.22; Change = +14.2%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 1.67; 9/18 = 1.99; Change = -16.0%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 2.77; 9/18 = 3.48; Change = -20.5%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 2.64; 9/18 = 2.21; Change = +19.6%

Reported deaths per 1M: 10/3 = 3.23; 9/18 = 4.10; Change = -21.3%

And here are all the regions on the same graph:

And here is the Northeast versus the rest of the United States:

Reported deaths per 1M: Northeast: 10/3 = 1.02; 9/18 = 1.02; Change = +0.5%; Rest of United States: 10/3 = 2.36; 9/18 = 2.71; Change = -13.2%

And now here are the case graphs. First for the United States:

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 132.7; 9/18 = 121.5; Change = +9.2%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 165.4; 9/18 = 130.6; Change = +26.6%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 182.4; 9/18 = 183.8; Change = -0.8%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 87.7; 9/18 = 62.1; Change = +41.2%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 148.9; 9/18 = 121.8; Change = +22.3%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 73.2; 9/18 = 48.7; Change = +50.4%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 78.6; 9/18 = 80.4; Change = -2.2%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 108.2; 9/18 = 126.5; Change = -14.4%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 249.3; 9/18 = 219.1; Change = +13.8%

Reported cases per 1M: 10/3 = 180.4; 9/18 = 163.9; Change = +10.1%

And here is the cases graph of all the regions on one graph:

Observations:

• For the time being, reported deaths are in a general decline, with the notable exception of the north central part of the country which is unfortunately seeing increases.
• You can see how cases have been going up in the north central portion of the country for quite a while now. For the rest of the country, several regions seem to be seeing recent upticks in cases reported as well. Some of that may be the testing of students as schools have been reopening. If it’s that, hopefully we will see that flatten next time. 

Stay tuned for the next update in a couple of weeks.